Papua New Guinea and Samoa both need a victory in this one if their hopes of advancing to the semi-finals is to remain alive.
Best Bet
Papua New Guinea once again get the benefit of playing at home at Port Moresby and that makes the big line a very enticing prospect even against a Samoa team that showed no mercy against France.
The Kumuls exceeded most expectations when thumping a well-backed Lebanon team 42-18 while Samoa were relentless in winning 78-4 over France.
The venue really is important here. Papua New Guinea have won 13 of their last 14 Tests in Port Moresby, one of the most intimidating places to play Rugby League in the world.
Toa Samoa have won the three Tests played between the two nations but the biggest margin has been 34 points with the last meeting just 18.
Happy to be with the Kumuls getting five converted tries here.
Same Game Multi
Su’a Fa’alogo scored a remarkable four tries coming off the bench against France and his speed and elusiveness should see him fill up again.
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has 18 tries in 20 rep games while he has 51 tries in his last 58 NRL games.
Dudley Dotoi has a sensational tryscoring record at Queensland Cup level with 62 in 54 games.
Value Bet
There is a pretty fair argument that Papua New Guinea hooker Edwin Ipape is the most underrated player at the World Cup. Ipape is one of the best handful of hookers in the world but because he has plied his trade in Super League with unfashionable club Leigh, he does not get the flowers he deserves. He is all class though with 49 tries in 127 games for Leigh. He has three tries in 11 games for the Kumuls. He is always well over the odds.
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