One of the highlights of the opening weekend of the World Cup, England and Tonga square off in Perth with the loser facing a very tough task to get through to the knockout stage.
Best Bet
England and Tonga meet in a key game that will have a major bearing on the makeup of the semi-finals in Perth on Saturday night with Tonga surprisingly set to jump favourites. The value is with England.
The most recent meetings between these two nations came in a three-Test series. England won in a sweep with the last two wins by double digits. The teams also met at the 2017 World Cup where England won 20-18.
While there is no doubt Tonga have improved they have won just a single Test in their last nine dating back to their loss to Samoa in the quarters of the 2022 World Cup. They were a disaster in the Pacific Championships – and this team is not that dissimilar.
The England side is really not being afforded a lot of respect. Their coaching change is absolutely monumental – Shaun Wane was a belligerent who is unsuited to the modern game while Brian McDermott is a highly regarded, innovative mentor. With nine starters having NRL experience, the value is with England.
Same Game Multi
Last year’s Ashes series saw al three games go under while the three Test series between these nations in 2023 all finished on 40 points or fewer.
Herbie Farnworth has six tries in nine international games and comes off a season where he scored 15 tries in 25 games for the Dolphins this year.
Dom Young has eight tries in nine games in England colours.
Value Bet
Hull KR Jez Litten is the best hooker in Super League and he knows his way to the tryline. He has 17 tries in 62 games across the last two seasons where KR have been a powerhouse, winning the title last year. He started in the No.9 jersey in the last two Ashes Tests so projects to get plenty of minutes where his role will be critically important.
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