
Melbourne have long dominated Newcastle but the Knights should do more than compete against the Storm even with Craig Bellamy’s team rediscovering some form.
Best Bet
We have an excellent slate of games this week and this early Friday clash between Melbourne and Newcastle is one of the more compelling affairs.
The Storm are reasonably heavily favoured here but despite reputations, the Knights are the better team. Newcastle rank fifth in scoring and 10th in defence while Melbourne rank 11th in scoring and 8th in defence. It is most notable that in the six games with Kalyn Ponga, the Knights have scored 28-plus in all six while conceding more than 22 just once.
This is a handy spot for the Knights, who are 15-6 ATS against bottom five teams while they have covered 13 of 21 interstate.
Melbourne have covered just one of seven against top 4 teams and five of 17 at night.
Newcastle have covered three of the last four against Melbourne and looked well-placed to improve that recent cover record.
Same Game Multi
Greg Marzhew has been unstoppable over the last month with 10 tries in his last four games.
Dylan Lucas comes off an elite double and the Storm have been vulnerable on their edges all season.
Sua Fa’alogo has 12 tries in 13 games this season and is without doubt the biggest Storm tryscoring threat.
Value Bet
Newcastle prop Trey Mooney is having a breakout season after making the move from the Raiders to the Knights and part of his elevation has been his ability to get over the tryline. He has five tries in 11 games – a continuation of his excellent tryscoring record in NSW Cup. He is once again huge odds.
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