
Manly and Souths get some of their stars back for this critical Top 8 clash but it is the absence of Latrell Mitchell that will prove decisive in this one.
Best Bet
We have a belter to open Round 14 – and the halfway round of the regular season – when old school rivals Manly and South Sydney square off at Brookvale in a battle between fifth and sixth with the winner every chance of finishing the weekend inside the Top 4.
Both teams are set to get troops back with Haumole Olakau’atu and potentially Tolutau Koula back for Manly if the NRL grants an examption to the latter while Souths are welcoming back David Fifita and Brandon Smith, among others.
The big concern for Souths is Latrell Mitchell’s back injury. Souths win rate drop from 61% to 41% when their star back is out.
Manly have been sensational under Kieran Foran, conceding over 18 for the first time in nine games last Friday against the Sharks. Take out a very poor first half though and the Sea Eagles really haven’t played poorly in his stewardship, covering seven of nine.
Manly have covered their last three against Top 8 teams while they are 25-15 ATS off a loss.
Souths have covered just 17 of 45 against Top 8 opposition.
Very keen on Manly.
Same Game Multi
The under has hit in three of the last four meetings between these two teams and is a remarkable 25-12 when Souths are off scoring 18 or fewer
Clayton Faulalo has been a revelation at fullback, scoring in all three games as a starting No.1. He now has 11 tries in 19 games in the top grade.
Alex Johnston is the greatest tryscorer in premiership history. He has 15 tries in his 18 games against Manly and has scored in every game he has played in this year.
Value Bet
Ben Trbojevic has really elevated his game this season with his edge running as good as any in the NRL. He has three tries this season, including in the last clash with the Sharks. Trbojevic operates on the left too with Souths conceding 42% of tries on their right side. He looks a lovely play.
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