Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets have arrived at a must win game probably sooner than the average NBA fan predicted. The Wolves have been relentless and can make things near impossible for Denver, if they can win again at home.
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Best Bet
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks (08:10am)
Two out of the three games this series he has been well over this number. Foul trouble in game two made it hard for Dyson to stay aggressive and New York attacked him because of it. Similar to how Atlanta is attacking Brunson at every opportunity, Dyson cannot afford to be the Knicks defensive assignment they attack.
The numbers for Dyson suggest that game two was the blip on his record, with an average of 15RA across the series. His contested rebound numbers are so strong, and I expect him to continue that here for game four.
Next Best
Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves (10:40am)
Just not having any impact for this Nuggets squad. If he isn’t draining threes, he just doesn’t provide as much as the others they can go with.
He played nine less minutes between game one and game three and I wouldn’t be shocked if he played less again in game four, especially if Gordon is good to go. His shot attempts halved between those games and he has shot just three from sixteen from the long line this series.
Has kept a job in this league as a sharpshooter, so we know he can score quickly. This is do or die for Denver and I expect both Jokic and Murray to shoot it a tonne, with less opportunity for the fringe guys.
Value Bet
OKC Thunder @ Phoenix Suns (05:40am)
Its time to repay the franchise. You’re the guy on the big contract; you can’t have another game of letting the defence dictate how many shots you can take.
Oklahoma have played Booker like a fiddle this series. Book has averaged just 15FGA this series and Jalen Green and Brooks have taken 19.5 and 22.5, respectively. Averaging 18.7 for the season, its time for Devin to be a bit more selfish. He averaged 26.1PPG this season so we only need an average night.
With the home crowd behind him, I’m seeing Booker being a lot more aggressive in the half court and challenging SGA for free throws taken this game.
