The Lakers have found a way to move to a 3-0 series lead despite both Luka and Reaves out injured, with veteran Guard Marcus Smart stepping up in a big way.
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Best Bet
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers (5:40am)
Shocked that Scoot’s line hasn’t moved since Game 3. His minutes continue to be sky high, and along with Jrue are the only two options that can consistently stretch the floor this series.
Henderson is averaging 23.3 points from three games this series, with his minutes bumped to mid to high 30s, hitting 15+ points in all three games.
When playing 27+ minutes this season, Scoot has hit 15+ points in nine of those 12 games which includes in seven of his last eight, averaging 17.9 points per game from those 12.
Next Best
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers (9:10am)
I think the Celtics might steer away from Queta for the remainder of the series, prioritising Vucevic’s ability to space the floor.
Vucevic’s plus-minus is +13 for the series, while Queta is just at +6, and in Game 3 we saw the major minutes shift with Vucevic playing 30 minutes while Queta just played 12, battling foul trouble before Joe Mazzulla opted for the veteran Vuc.
In Vucevic’s 30 minutes he finished with 11 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while in Game 2 he still nearly covered this PRA line landing on 15 in just 18 minutes.
We should see more of the former Bull in Game 4 again I feel.
Value Bet
LA Lakers @ Houston Rockets (11:40am)
Cannot believe they’re still going to give us this Marcus Smart assists line. Although Reaves is questionable, I doubt he will play with the Lakers leading 3-0 this series – and even if he does, he eats into Kennard’s role.
Smart is averaging 8.3 assists this series and has hit 6+ on all three occasions including a 10-assist game in Game 3. In his two games prior to the playoffs, he also had 10 and seven assist games.
Love the 6+ in this, and it’s worth considering a ladder to 8+ ($7) and 10+ ($16).
