The Nuggets are on life support going down 3-1 in their series against the Timberwolves – can Nikola Jokic lead them to a much needed win?
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Best Bet
OKC Thunder @ Phoenix Suns (11:40am)
Win or go home for the Suns which means big minutes for their starters – even if Phoenix is blown out early, they may as well play their guys before they head to Cancun.
Jalen Green continues to play big minutes and scoring plenty of points. He’s averaging 21.3 points per game this series, covering this line in the last two games.
Green has played 32+ minutes in 13 games this season, and when he’s done that he’s averaged 26.2 points, covering this line in 11 of those games. I think he plays at least 36 in this.
Next Best
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets (12:40pm)
The Nuggets trail 3-1, but there’s the faintest of pulses with both Donte DiVincenzo and Anthony Edwards going down in Game 4 and will miss the remainder of the series.
Jokic could play 45 minutes in this to keep Denver’s season alive. His points and assists have been down, but his rebounding numbers remain sky high, defending Gobert and hanging around the ring on the defensive end.
Averaging 14.5 rebounds per game this series, and in Jokic’s last 15 games he’s played 36+ minutes he has averaged that exact same rebounding number, hitting 14+ in 10 of his last 13 from that sample.
Value Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic (10:10am)
A bit of a weird one, but it looks like the Magic are happy to play Jamal Cain as their seventh man in the rotation, leapfrogging the once trusted Tristan da Silva.
Cain played 14 minutes in Game 3, finishing with 7 points while going +12 when on the floor – da Silva only played the 8 minutes failing to produce a stat, with a -4 plus-minus.
The former Heat fringe player fought his way into the Orlando rotation late in the season, and off the back of what he produced in the Magic’s Game 3 win, I think we’ll continue to see more of him for the remainder of the series.
