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A stacked slate on Monday morning, with the Pelicans in hot-form to finish the season. Can they challenge the Clippers with Brandon Ingram back in full swing?
Best Bet
Pelicans @ Clippers (11:30am)
Brandon Ingram Over 35.5 PRA @ ($1.86)
Ingram has fit back into this Pelicans line-up seamlessly, and with a spike in minutes as they approach the play-in series.
BI finished with 29 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists against his old team last game, and is averaging 24.7 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists in his three games back. But this includes a minutes restriction in the first two games, which means his per-36 minute numbers are 30.3 points, 8.6 rebounds and 7.4 assists.
We should see Ingram play around 35 minutes in an important game against the Clippers, and with LA conceding points to small forwards 12% above average over the last three weeks, we should see a big game from BI.
Same Game Multi
Brandon Ingram 20+ Points
CJ McCollum 20+ Points
Jonas Valanciunas 12+ Rebounds
$3.40
Next Best
Trail Blazers @ Spurs (9:00am)
Drew Eubanks Over 15.5 Points ($1.82)
Was our value a few days ago, but an early blowout saw Drew Eubanks only play the 29 minutes against the Spurs. He’s back against his old team on Monday, and we’re back on him again to cover his line of 15.5 points.
The Spurs are the easiest team in the NBA for centres to score against over the last three weeks, 45% above average. The Portland Centre is averaging 17.2 points from his last 12 games, covering the line of 15.5 in eight of those games. Prior to his 13-point effort last game, Eubanks had covered in five of his last six games.
With Dejounte Murray potentially sitting this one out, it may result in a more competitive game which should see Eubanks playing closer to 34 minutes in this – if that happens, he covers.
Same Game Multi
Spurs 11+
Drew Eubanks 15+ Points
$2.62
VALUE BET
Heat @ Raptors (9:00am)
Gary Trent Jr 20+ Points ($2.30)
The Toronto shooter has been highly inconsistent this season – so buyer beware, he could quite easily finish on 5 points going 2/17. But what he has done against the Heat this season makes this a value bet.
Trent has had 33 points on both occasions he’s played the Heat this season, and with shooting guards scoring 8% above average against Miami over the last three weeks he gets another opportunity to go big.
Miami is one of the best teams in the NBA at defending both the power forward and centre spots which will see Siakam and Barnes’ offensive output down, while Fred VanVleet has struggled while dealing with knee soreness the last month.
Looks like if the Raptors are going to score, it’s coming from Gary Trent Jr.
Same Game Multi
Gary Trent Jr 15+ Points
Scottie Barnes 6+ Rebounds
Pascal Siakam 4+ Assists
$3.10
Monday NBA Multi
New York H2H / Brandon Ingram 20+ Points / Drew Eubanks 15+ Points = $3.36
