After a week-long break for All-Star Weekend, NBA is back in a big way with a whopping 12 games on the slate.
Best Bet
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors (2:10pm)
I love this market. D’Lo has played 7 games this season without LeBron and in those games, he is averaging a very healthy 11.3 assists. His assist totals in these games are as follows: 11, 10, 8, 8, 10, 14, 17. That’s a 100% rate of clearing this mark so far.
Russell enjoys a usage rate bump of about 4% with LeBron out of the line-up, and has sensational chemistry running PnR’s with AD. With an implied total points line of 241.5, this game against the Warriors should have ample opportunity for D’Lo to pick up some dimes.
10 dimes @ $3.70 was very nearly my value bet of the day.
SGM – Klay 3+ Threes / Rui 4+ Rebounds / Reaves 15+ Points = $3.20
Next Best
Washington Wizards @ Denver Nuggets (1:10pm)
Stealing this from co-writer, Dale’s playbook. Deni has gone absolutely nuts since the Gafford trade, as Brian Keefe isn’t afraid of some small ball line-ups with Avdija at the 5.
In the 4 games since Gafford was moved to Dallas, Deni has produced combined PR of 35, 34, 32, and most recently a career-best game of 43 points and 15 rebounds (not a typo).
The markets are yet to adequately adjust to Deni’s new playing time and role, and we will continue to smash this market until they do.
SGM – Deni 15+ Points / Gordon Over 14.5 Points / Deni 6+ Rebounds / Jokic 8+ Assists = $3.75
Value Bet
Charlotte Hornets @ Utah Jazz (1:10pm)
LaMelo remains out and Rozier was traded. This means there is plenty of usage sitting there ready to be gobbled up by other Hornets. Bridges, as the most complete offense player in this young unit, stands to benefit the most here.
He also faces a Utah Jazz team that gives up the most points to the opposition league wide. Bridges has cleared this line in 3 of his past 6, but 2 of those were 40+ point explosions against The Raptors and The Lakers. He is certainly capable, and Utah’s shaky defense will give him ample opportunity to make buckets.
SGM – Richards 8+ Rebounds / Mann 6+ Assists/ Lauri 20+ Points = $3.40
Friday NBA Multi
Thunder / Celtics / Cavs = $3.07
