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The Warriors look to close the series against the Grizzlies in Memphis and advance to the Western Conference Finals – expect them to continue to do the defensive job on one of Memphis’ key players.
Bucks @ Celtics (9:00am)
Brook Lopez Over 17.5 PR ($1.80)
Although the Bucks didn’t get the win in Game 4, Coach Bud has put more reliance in Brook Lopez as the primary big for Milwaukee, pushing Giannis back to the 4-spot and restricting Bobby Portis’ role.
Lopez’s usage in Games 3 and 4 averaged a bit over 19, compared to 7.5 in the first two games of this series with Boston.
With Boston switching everything on defence with the likes of Al Horford and Grant Williams more than capable of defending the perimeter, expect Milwaukee to utilise Brook Lopez a bit more in this scenario – in Games 3 and 4 the big man averaged 15 points and 8.5 rebounds collating an average PR of 23.5.
We get a PR line of 17.5 due to Lopez’s first two games of the playoffs, but with Middleton out and Jrue Holiday shooting the ball at 33.7% for the series, the Bucks will be reliant on Lopez’s ability to play in and out offensively to go with his rim protection on the defensive end.
Same Game Multi
Brook Lopez 10+ Points
Brook Lopez 6+ Rebounds
Giannis Antetokounmpo 6+ Assists
Warriors @ Grizzlies (11:30am)
Desmond Bane Under 17.5 Points ($1.80)
The Warriors have done an outstanding job taking away Desmond Bane’s shot this series, and as the Memphis shooter continues to play through a back injury it’s hard to see him cover his points line.
Averaging less than 10 points per game this series, Bane has only managed 35 field goal attempts from four games – going at less than 9 attempts per game. In comparison, against the Timberwolves Bane averaged 16.2 field goal attempts per game.
Golden State continue to run Bane off the three-point line and without the dribble penetration of Ja Morant to get him open from outside, it’s going to make it all the more difficult for the second-year pro.
With a usage rate off 22.5 across the season, this series Bane’s usage has dropped to 13.7 and was at a series low in Game 4 without Morant at just 10.2. There’s no way the Warriors deter from the scout in Game 5 as they try to close the series.
Same Game Multi
Desmond Bane Under 17.5 Points
Andrew Wiggins 15+ Points
Jaren Jackson Jr 15+ Points
Celtics v Bucks Under 214.5 Total Points / Golden State H2H = $2.95