Tennis Tips - French Open Day 6 Tips

Alex De Minaur got a free pass to the third round, and he had another huge opportunity to advance against Jakub Mensik who struggled in the hot Parisian conditions in the second round.

Best Bet

Ruud vs Paul Over 37.5

Total Games

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$1.80

Casper Ruud’s eyes just lit up overnight with his first genuine chance of winning a major, despite being a finalist on multiple occasions.

The Norwegian won’t have it easy though – he does have a 3-2 record against Tommy Paul, but every single match they’ve played has gone over the total games.

The pair have faced off in three majors – two of those went the distance including the 2020 French Open encounter, while the other went four sets and still went over the total games hitting 39 total games.

Paul is one of the fittest players on tour, so the conditions won’t worry him – while Casper Ruud went through hell in the first-round. This could go the distance.

Next Best

Alex De Minaur -5.5

Game Handicap

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$1.83

Rest will be Alex De Minaur’s best friend in this third-round match against Jakub Mensik.

The key behind the game handicap is the Czech falling away quickly the longer this match goes on, with the likelihood that De Minaur will win the fourth or fifth set either 6-0 or 6-1.

Mensik’s second-round match against Navone went to a fifth set super tiebreak, which he won 13-11 with the match going for four hours and 40 minutes. During the Czech’s celebration, he had a full body cramp and was unable to get up.

In contrast, De Minaur’s opponent forfeited their second-round match – the Australian is in the box seat here.

Nuno Borges +5.5

Game Handicap

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It’s a danger game for Andrey Rublev, with two tight wins in his French Open campaign so far.

The Russian does have an outstanding record against Nuno Borges, leading 4-0 and dropping just the one set – but that set he dropped was a bad one in Monte Carlo in the lead-up, and as a result Borges covered the game handicap in that contest.

Rublev should be too good in the end – but he didn’t cover against Carabelli in the second-round, while Borges has won as an underdog in both matches so far, covering in both with ease.

Value Bet

Viktorija Golubic

Win A Set

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$3.50

I’ve got Golubic winning a set – but I actually think the Swiss can win the match paying $8.

Kostyuk had to fight hard to beat Volynets in the second-round – an opponent who has really done nothing the last 18 months against quality opponents, with her record heading into the Kostyuk match 2-15 against top-50 over this stretch.

The Ukrainian had a physically enduring clay court lead-up and is experiencing hip and ankle concerns, while there’s also an emotional role in this – a missile struck near her parents’ Kyiv home just hours before her opening match.

The Swiss is 8-4 on clay this year, and more than capable of causing a major upset, playing a very strong level of tennis this French Open.

Multi

De Minaur (M) / Djokovic (M) / Jodar (M) / Ruud (M) / Cirstea (W) = $3.61

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.