NRL Tips – Warriors v Knights – Semi Final 2026

The pressure is on New Zealand to deliver on a season of such promise and with some key attacking figures sidelined, they will be relying on their defence, providing an excellent play in the second Semi Final.

Best Bet

Under 44.5
Total Points
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$1.90

The NRL heads to Eden Park for the first time in 12 years with the ground sold out for the semi final between the Warriors and Knights.

This is, of course, a week earlier than both the Warriors and their fans had hoped to be playing at Eden Park after the Warriors lost at home to the Dolphins. The pressure is now well and truly on Andrew Webster’s team to not spoil arguably the best Warriors season in their history with a bang-bang exit.

That should see the Warriors dance with the one that brung ’em and rely on their defence. New Zealand were the second best defensive unit and will look to clamp down Newcastle.

With both teams in a strong under situation this game should see points hard to come by.

Night games have gone under at over 66% this year while the under is 12-4 when the Warriors are favoured by at least a try and 9-5 when the Knights are off conceding 10 or fewer.

The under has hit in eight of the last 12 meetings between the two sides to boot.

Get right around the under.

Same Game Multi

Greg Marzhew Try/Dominic Young Try/Alofiana Khan-Pereira Try
Same Game Multi
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$8.00

Greg Marzhew has scored nine tries in nine games against the Warriors and has had the best tryscoring season of his career with 24 in 24 matches.

Dominic Young is one of the elite finishers in the NRL with 94 tries in 116 games.

Alofiana Khan-Pereira has the best strikerate of any winger in the NRL with 69 tries in 72 matches

Value Bet

Jermaine McEwen
To Score A Try
Bet Now
$4.75

Jermaine McEwen has been in sensational form over the backend of the season with the tries coming thick and fast over the last two weeks. After scoring just a single try in his first 19 games of the year, McEwen has crossed three times over the last two matches including a double against the Rabbitohs. McEwen has busted at least four tackles in three of his last seven games. He looks nice odds to get over against the Warriors.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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