NRL Tips – Warriors v Dolphins – Qualifying Final 2026

The Warriors are the fairytale team of this finals series but with the Dolphins set for their first finals series, they can throw a spanner in the works for the Wahs.

Best Bet

Dolphins +4.5

Line

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$1.90

The Warriors have established themselves as the real deal this year, ranking first in scoring and second in defence, while there is no hotter ticket in the world than Mt Smart this Saturday. The pressure is on the Warriors though and they seem underpriced.

These two teams play close matches. Their last six have all been decided by four points or fewer. The underdog has covered five of the last six. When these teams met just three months back the final score was 26-24.

The big concern with the Warriors is their poor cover record when a heavy favourite, particularly at home. The Warriors have covered just three of their last 17 at Mt Smart when favoured by at least a try.

The Dolphins have covered nine of their last 11 as an underdog of at least a try and 15 of 24 against Top 4 teams.

Confidence is very high with the Dolphins this week.

Same Game Multi

Jamayne Isaako Try/Alofiana Khan-Pereira Try/Herbie Farnworth Try

Same Game Multi

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$9.50

Jamayne Isaako has 21 tries in 24 games this year and has nine tries in his last eight games against the Warriors.

Alofiana Khan-Pereira has 69 tries in 71 games including four tries in his last two games against the Dolphins.

Herbie Farnworth is in good tryscoring form with five tries in his last five games and he loves playing the Warriors with 10 tries in 12 meetings.

Value Bet

Max Plath

To Score A Try

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$5.25

Max Plath has emerged as one of the best, most effective and most versatile forwards in the game. He is set to start the game against the Warriors on an edge before playing both hooker and lock. That leads to big minutes and Plath is typically around the mark. Plath has scored in two of his last three while he was unlucky when getting held up last week. He is huge odds.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.