The Clive Churchill Medal is awarded to the Man of the Match in the Grand Final. It is one of the most prestigious individual honours in Rugby League.
Best Bet
Let’s first of all look at the profile of players who win the Clive Churchill Medal. It will guide us significantly when looking at best bets.
- 37 of 40 winners had played Origin/Test football prior to winning
- 4 winners from losing team
- 0 back-to-back winners
- 3 two-time winners
Let’s also look at the positions of winners and the last time someone from that position won the award.
Fullback: 8 winners, 4 in last decade, last 2025
Wing: 0 winners
Centre: 0 winners
Five-Eighth: 4 winners, 2 in last decade, last 2019
Halfback: 12 winners, 2 in last decade, last 2023
Hooker: 2 winners, 0 in last decade, last 2006
Prop: 3 winners, 0 in last decade, last 2008
Second Row: 4 winners, 2 in last decade, last in 2024
Lock: 6 winners, 0 in last decade, last in 2014
So essentially what we are looking for is a rep player from the winning team, preferably playing in the halves or at fullback and definitely not playing in the three-quarter line. Halves and fullbacks have won eight of the last nine.
From the Roosters team the players to focus on are James Tedesco, Sam Walker and Daly Cherry-Evans with Victor Radley, Reece Robson and Lindsay Collins given some consideration.
For the Broncos attention should be with Kalyn Ponga and … that is it.
Confidence is high that the Roosters win big and the best value bet is star fullback James Tedesco. Tedesco is not only an elite player he regularly catches the eye when it comes to dishing out individual awards. A two-time Dally M Medal winner, he has won the RLPA Player of the Year award four times as well as the Brad Fittler medal three times. He is in sublime form after another stellar season and can add another honour to his Hall of Fame resume.
Next Best
With confidence so high on the Roosters and the chances of winning the Clive limited, bettors have to have something on Walker. He may be carrying an injury into the decider but he was super in the preliminary final and has a tremendous record in big games. He is a three-time winner of the Ashton-Collier Medal and won man of the match honours in game two of Origin this season.
Value Bet
Victor Radley is both an England international and NSW representative who certainly attracts plenty of attention. He has played 56-plus minutes in seven of his last eight and gets through a mountain of defensive work. He is also a player who is the most likely to play 80 if there is a change in the rotation caused by injury. Worth a ticket.
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