Defending premiers Brisbane are on the ropes and the Sydney Roosters have a chance to put them out of business on Friday night when an injury-ravaged Broncos take to Suncorp.
Best Bet
Brisbane’s season is hanging by the barest of threads and they must attempt to salvage their title defence without key halfback Adam Reynolds and star forward Patrick Carrigan. The mountain appears to be too high.
The Roosters have certainly had the best of the Broncos. They have won nine of the last 12 including the last two. The Chooks have won four straight at Suncorp. They have covered the spread in four of the last five clashes.
Trent Robinson and Michael Maguire have been squaring off since 2013 and Robinson has been undervalued by the market, covering 69% of their meetings.
Brisbane have failed to cover their last five against Top 8 teams while the Sydney Roosters are 24-15 against the spread against teams outside the Top 8.
The Chooks are entitled to win this one and win it well.
Same Game Multi
Mark Nawaqanitawase has 37 tries in 34 games in the NRL including nine in his last five matches.
James Tedesco has four tries in his last eight games and the Broncos are most vulnerable through the middle.
Sam Walker has scored in two of his last five against Brisbane.
Value Bet
No team concedes more tries through the middle than the Broncos – their 42% of tries conceded through the middle is 10 points higher than the second-ranked Tigers. So working with Roosters middles will likely result in profit. Hooker Reece Robson has been in great tryscoring form with three tries in his last seven games – and he should have had another except for being overly cautious. He is big odds to cross.
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