The surging Bombers host winless North Melbourne on Sunday afternoon at Marvel Stadium.
Best Bet
This is a huge line but with the Bombers are capable of covering it.
The Roos’ defence is historically bad, conceding 100+ points in every game this year, and 120+ in five of nine. Even in humid, greasy conditions last week they gave up 120 against the Suns.
There’s been a defensive focus at Essendon lately, leading to their last five games going under the total and no tallies above 100 in their last seven games.
The Bombers did score 100+ in their opening two games of the season, however, so they can really open the shoulders when given the opportunity, like they will in this game.
North have failed to cover the line in eight straight. Back the Bombers to make it nine.
Insights
🔒 North Melbourne Struggles Against Essendon: North Melbourne has found it challenging against Essendon, failing to secure a win in their last 9 matchups.
📈 Essendon’s Recent Form: Essendon has improved defensively in recent games, leading to 6 total unders out of their last 7 games
📉 North Melbourne’s Recent Struggles: North Melbourne has struggled to cover the spread recently, with only 1 cover achieved this season.
Same Game Multi
Peter Wright had scored 2+ in four straight before his zero against the Giants last week.
Matt Guelfi has seven goals from his three games this year while Cam Zurhaar has seven in his last three.
Nic Martin has recorded 25+ in five straight.
Value Bet
The enigmatic Stringer has had a really good year but the numbers back up the notion that he does beat up on bad teams.
The former Dog has kicked 4+ in three of his last five games against teams ranked on the bottom of the ladder and in two of his last three against North.
He’s kicked 4.9 in his last four games so he could be in for a big afternoon if he can straighten up.
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