Rugby Union Tips - Wallabies vs. Italy Predictions

Match Details

Date: 18/7/26 8:10PM AEST

Venue: HBF Park, Perth.

Current Betting Odds

Wallabies: $1.10

Draw: $34.00

Italy: $7.50

Wallabies vs. Italy Preview

We have Australia vs. Italy predictions for the Nations Championship Round 3 game on Saturday, July 18 at 8:10pm at HBF Park in Perth.

It’s a huge game for both nations on Saturday night, where the Wallabies are -17.5 favourites to score their first win of the tournament.

Best Bet

Italy +17.5

Line

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$1.90

We don’t think there is much between Australia and Italy now, and the European team could play well enough to keep it close.

Italy hasn’t played overly well so far, including losses to Japan and New Zealand. However, they pushed a solid All Blacks team for 40 minutes last week, and if they bring that energy against Australia, they could have a halftime lead.

As they often do, they’re likely to fatigue in the second half, but getting +17.5 points is a big start, and we have Australia winning by two converted tries.

Australia hasn’t played its best throughout the tournament. The Wallabies blew a great chance to beat Ireland in their opening game before losing to France last week. Their second half performance against France wasn’t good, and this team still has a long way to go to get back to the glory days of Australian rugby.

Same Game Multi Bet

Italy +17.5, Max Jorgensen Anytime Try Scorer, Monty Ioane Anytime Try Scorer, Under 60.5

SGM

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$7.50

Max Jorgensen is one of Australia’s best attacking players, and although he doesn’t score as often as he should, that’s mostly because the quality of ball on his inside isn’t good enough. He should get ample chances to score against Italy, especially in the second half, so include him in SGM picks.

Monty Ioane is a good attacking threat for Italy, and the $2.20 odds are worth including. The Australian-born Italian would love to score against his countrymen, and he’s a powerful runner close to the line.

We’re including under 60.5 points. It could be a sluggish defensive battle in the first 40 minutes, where penalty kicks could dominate the flow of the game.

Value Bet

Australia 1-12

Winning Margin

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$3.80

A win is all Australia needs to make their way up the Nations Championship leaderboard and we have it coming by 1-12 points.

They haven’t played well enough to suggest that a big win is in store against Italy, and it could be an ugly affair in Perth.

Class is on Australia’s side, and it should do enough to prevail, but it will be close, so take the $3.80 odds.

Sports Journalist

Daryl Curnow

Daryl is a professional punter and sports analyst with over 15 years of industry experience. After studying English at the University of Auckland, he began as a racing journalist before moving into full-time betting in 2009. Known for his sharp eye and deep market insight, Daryl specialises in horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, NFL, UFC, rugby, and US college sports - earning a reputation as one of the most trusted voices in the game.