Super Rugby Tips – Finals Week 2


Here are our picks for Week 2 of the Super Rugby finals.

Crusaders v Chiefs

Christchurch, Friday 10/6 @ 7.05pm

Both sides are very familiar with each other…and the visitors will not be intimidated

Best Bet

Chiefs +8.5

Both sides are at full strength so we turn to the stats to find us a winner here. And the stats are compelling. The Chiefs have lost once on the road this year and that was an unlucky 22-24 defeat at Eden Park. They knocked off the Crusaders at this venue and let’s not forget Waikato knocked off Canterbury here in the NPC in 2020. Crusaders are a very good side but won’t have it all their own way here.   

Value Bet

Crusaders 1-7

The home side are a tad fallable at home these days and recent wins have been flattering. Notwithstanding all that, they are a tremendous team favoured by freezing local conditions. Only twice in the past 8 clashes at all venues between these sides has the margin been above 6. As alluded to above, I think the start is way too big but I’ll tip the Crusaders to win a ding-dong battle by the narrowest of margins. 

Blues v Brumbies

Eden Park, Saturday 11/6 @ 7.05pm

Rinse and Repeat. The Blues will reaffirm their status as 2022’s best side with a hammering of the Brumbies. 

Best Bet

Blues -13.5

There is little doubt the Blues will notch their 15th straight win in this one. RTS and Beaudie Barrett join forces with the scrumbase trio of Sotutu/Papalii/Ioane. Class will prevail in this mismatch. 

Value Bet

Blues -19.5
Alternate Line

The Brumbies took advantage of a sloppy Hurricanes team last week but know their fate here. They just won’t be able to compete with NZ’s best. I expect this margin to hit 20+. 

Avatar photo
Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.