NFL Tips - Steelers @ Browns

Very much the Thursday Night Football matchups we have become accustomed too, points will be hard to come by when the Steelers and Browns square off in Cleveland.

Best Bet

Under 38.5

Total Points

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$1.92

Thursday Night Football has often been derided for showcasing unappealing matchups – matchups like this.

While the Steelers and Browns may be division rivals with veteran quarterbacks, both teams are very poor watches who struggle to move the ball, are loath to pass too much and base their style and reputation on defence.

The best way to get through a game like this is to play the under.

The first two Steelers games this season tallied 33 and 23 while no Browns game has topped 44.

The under is an excellent 32-19-2 on Thursday Night Football when the total is 40 or less while DeShaun Watson has gone under in eight of nine home games.

Same Game Multi

Cleveland -2.5/Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 Rush Yards/Roman Wilson Over 22.5 Receiving Yards

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$5.10

Cleveland have won nine straight Thursday Night Football games while the Browns have covered seven of nine at home against division rivals Pittsburgh.

Aaron Rodgers has run for positive yardage in his last two and while his running game is gone he can scramble well enough to safety.

Roman Wilson has exactly six targets in each of his first three games of 2026 and he has turned that into returns of 26 yards, 28 yards and 60 yards with a score.

Value Bet

Denzel Boston

35+ Yards Longest Reception

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$4.40

Denzel Boston has certainly been a bright light for the Browns this year, shining through three games in his rookie season. Boston has nine catches on 15 targets with two touchdowns. He has been the big downtown threat for the Browns too with at least one catch of 28 or more yards in each game with a catch of 46 yards in his debut and 55 yards in Week 2. This is one of the best bets you will find on the board in Week 4.

Editor-In-Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.