AFL Tips – St Kilda v Port Adelaide

St Kilda host Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Saturday in a match that is tough to call but where the total looks the strongest play.

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Best Bet

Under 171.5 Points

Total Points

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$1.90

In a batlle of two teams that are hard to get a handle on, the total looks the play.

Josh Carr and Port Adelaide have prioritised defence all year, producing the lowest-scoring games of any team in 2026 at an average of 159.9 points. Twelve of their 16 games have gone under including all seven away games.

St Kilda sit mid-table for totals with nine of 16 going under, including their last three, at an average of 176.7 points.

The head-to-head history also strongly supports the under, hitting in 11 of 15 games since 2014 including the last four, with an average total of just 154.9 points.

Take the under and hope for a stinker.

Same Game Multi

Under 174.5 Points, D.Byrne-Jones 20+ Disposals, J.Horne-Francis 20+ Disposals, J.Whitlock Anytime Goal

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$3.60

Half-backs against St Kilda continue to deliver. Darcy Byrne-Jones has had two quieter weeks but both came against poor half-back match-ups.

Jason Horne-Francis has had 20 or more disposals in five straight games against the Saints.

Key forwards have also been a reliable play against St Kilda and Jack Whitlock has kicked two or more goals in three games at Marvel.

Value Bet

B.Hill 35+ Disposals

Player Disposals

Bet Now

$8.00

Brad Hill has posted his two highest career disposal tallies in the last two weeks and this is a huge price for another 35-touch game. Port are a reasonable match-up for outside midfielders and at $8.00 this is worth a throw.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2026 AFL season.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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