AFL Tips – Melbourne v Richmond

Melbourne host Richmond at the MCG on Sunday afternoon in a match where the MCG record makes the Dees near-impossible to oppose.

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Best Bet

Melbourne -41.5

Line

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$1.90

Have to stick with the Dees at the MCG.

Melbourne’s season has been built on their form at the home of football, covering the line in nine straight there. They played Richmond at this venue in Round 7 and won by 54 points against a Tigers side that has not improved since.

Richmond have 14 losses this year with only three coming by fewer than 35 points. Their better results have largely come against Carlton, their only two defeats by fewer than 25 points.

They lose Short, Ross and Green this week, further thinning an already depleted squad.

Melbourne should win this big.

Same Game Multi

Melbourne -41.5, J.Van Rooyen 2+ Goals, K.Pickett 2+ Goals, K.Pickett 25+ Disposals

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$4.20

Happy to back Melbourne’s primary goal kickers against Richmond. Jacob van Rooyen has kicked eight goals in his last two games while Kysaiah Pickett kicked four the last time these teams met and has had 25 or more disposals in five of his last seven at the MCG, including 29 against the Tigers.

Value Bet

K.Pickett 4+ Goals

Player Goals

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$4.60

No team gives up more midfield goals than Richmond and Pickett is in prime position to cash in on a lethargic Tigers midfield. He has kicked 12 goals in his last four games at the MCG and another big afternoon looks well within reach.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2026 AFL season.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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