AFL Tips - North Melbourne v Gold Coast

North Melbourne look to bounce back from their Adelaide hammering against a Gold Coast side riding a three-game winning streak at Marvel Stadium on Saturday.

Best Bet

Over 182.5 Points

Total Points

Bet Now

$1.90

Hard to know what North will serve up after last week’s hammering, so the over is the best play.

North’s last five games have all gone over, with the last four averaging 206 points and the Roos conceding 119.5 per game with their team defence again becoming an issue after showing some early promise earlier in the season.

Gold Coast’s recent games have averaged just 160 points but three of those games came against Hawthorn, Port and St Kilda – three of the top ten defensive teams in the competition. Prior to that stretch, their 2026 average sat at 196.5 points per game.

Ben Long returns this week to add extra offensive punch, and a Suns team with he, King, Petracca, Humphries and others is capable of putting up a big score against North’s leaky defence.

Three of the last four between these teams have also gone over. Take the over and cheer on the goals.

Same Game Multi

Over 182.5 Points, B.Long 2+ Goals, C.Petracca Anytime Goal, Z.Duursma Anytime Goal

Bet Now

$1.90

The over means goals.

Ben Long has kicked eight goals in his last three games against North Melbourne.

Christian Petracca has kicked 7.7 in his last four against the Roos while Zane Duursma has kicked eight goals in four games at Marvel this season.

Value Bet

Z.Duursma 3+ Goals

Player Goals

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$7.50

Duursma has three bags of three goals from ten games this year, with two coming at Marvel. He looks North’s most dangerous forward over the last month. A breakout bag looks imminent and this looks a good price, with 4+ at a monster price also worth a throw.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.