Dreamtime at the ‘G serves up last versus second last on Friday night in one of the least appetising match-ups of the season.
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Best Bet
In a hideous game the under is the clear play.
Nine of the last 12 games between these teams have gone under the total, including the last four, with an average total of just 149 points. The last meeting hit just 83 points.
Richmond have averaged just 72 points in their last five games while Essendon have managed 79.8. The loss of Peter Wright further hurts the Bombers structurally while Richmond have a full team of players on the injury list. Mykelti Lefau is likely the only player of note to return here.
These are two of the competition’s worst defensive teams, but neither have the ability to take advantage. There is nothing in the match-up to suggest the total is under any threat.
Take the under and watch Freo v St Kilda.
Same Game Multi
Essendon cannot lose to a team with 18 players on their injury list.
Archie Roberts is averaging 32 disposals this season and should continue to pig out from half-back.
Inside midfielders are reliable plays against Essendon and Jayden Short is averaging 25.2 disposals this season.
Value Bet
Archie May has kicked two or more goals in four of his last five games, including three against GWS two weeks ago. Key forwards have dominated Richmond all season and at $3.20 this looks a good price.
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