NFL Tips - Steelers @ Patriots

Pittsburgh got the job done in the opener without their offence firing a shot while New England managed just 10 points in Seattle, and this shapes as one of the grittiest games of the round.

Best Bet

Under 41.5

Total Points

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$1.90

Pittsburgh beat Atlanta 20-13 on the back of a TJ Watt pick-six and very little else. Watt and Alex Highsmith had two sacks apiece, Cameron Heyward swatted three passes away and the Falcons were held to 238 yards and two of twelve on third down.

The offence is the problem. Aaron Rodgers went 0 of 6 on throws of 20 air yards or more, DK Metcalf caught four of ten targets for 40 yards with two offensive pass interference penalties, and the run game managed 2.8 yards a carry. Fifteen first downs and 3 of 13 on third down will not win many games.

New England lost 13-10 at Seattle, and a lot of the questions that emerged about the offence – especially how good Drake Maye is – still linger.

The under is a compelling bet here.

Same Game Multi

Steelers +5.5/Under 41.5/Warren 40+ Rushing Yards

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$6.00

Pittsburgh’s defence kept them in a game their offence could not win last week and it will do the same here.

New England managed 10 points in Seattle and Pittsburgh needed a pick-six to beat Atlanta. This total sits at 41.5 for good reason.

Expect the Steelers to lean on the run here and Jaylen Warren can grind out tough yards.

Value Bet

Jaylen Warren

First Touchdown Scorer

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$7.50

Aaron Rodgers went 0 of 6 beyond 20 air yards in the opener and Pittsburgh made just 15 first downs. If they score here it will come from close range, and in a game with a total of 41.5 the first touchdown is worth chasing at the odds.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.