The reigning MVP scored seven points in Melbourne and has lost his best pass rusher, yet the Rams are laying six and a half to a Giants side that just beat Dallas.
Best Bet
Myles Garrett has been placed on injured reserve and will miss at least four games. That is the most disruptive defender in football removed from a side already beaten 27-7.
Los Angeles were first in the league for points and passing yards last season and Matthew Stafford threw 46 touchdowns to eight interceptions on the way to the MVP. In Australia he managed 15 of 25 for 155 with no scores and a pick. They will be better than that, but six and a half assumes they are back to their best immediately.
The bigger point is what the Giants looked like under John Harbaugh. They converted 81.8% on third down, won the possession battle by 13 minutes and did not give Dallas a cheap play all night. Jaxson Dart went 23 of 29 for 230 with three touchdowns and no interceptions from inside the pocket, adding 54 on the ground. Isaiah Likely caught all eight of his targets for 78 and two scores and Cam Skattebo carried 18 times for 81.
Disciplined, methodical, physical football is exactly what Harbaugh built in Baltimore, and a team playing that way should not get blown out.
Take the points with New York.
Same Game Multi
Jaxson Dart was outstanding in Week 1 and should be able to hit 200 here.
Likely caught all eight of his targets for 78 yards and two scores against Dallas and is Dart’s most reliable outlet.
Value Bet
Skattebo carried 18 times for 81 yards against Dallas and the Giants will lean on him again to keep Stafford on the sideline. With Garrett out of the Rams front the running lanes are there, and Harbaugh’s sides have always fed the back near the line.
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