NBA Tips - Tuesday, May 12 NBA Picks & Multi

Deandre Ayton was so disappointing in Game 3 for the Lakers, I can easily see JJ Redick cutting down his minutes with nothing to lose in Game 4 against the Thunder.

Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers (10:10am)

Over 212.5

Total Points

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$1.84

The Cavaliers are a different team on their home court, with their offensive production significantly better, resulting in higher scoring games.

Four of Cleveland’s five home games this post-season have gone over the total points – all five covering this total points line, with the Cavs averaging 119.2 points per game at home with a 5-0 record.

This is nearly 20 points per game more than their offensive output on the road – and although the Pistons are a strong defensive outfit, Game 3 had 225 total points and I think we’ll see something similar in Game 4.

Same Game Multi

Over 212.5 Total Points / Harden 15+ Points / Strus Over 12.5 PR

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$4.00

OKC Thunder @ LA Lakers (12:40pm)

Deandre Ayton

Under 17.5 PR

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$1.85

“I can’t play him” is what lipreaders across social media interpreted JJ Redick saying when Deandre Ayton conceded multiple offensive rebounds in the one possession, and I think JJ is a man of his word.

He’s made statements a number of times this season, and with the series at 3-0 in the Thunder’s favour, he’s got nothing to lose. Adou Thiero, a 6’8 forward, showed glimpses in his 13 minutes in Game 3 with eight rebounds – and I can see Redick shaking things up and giving someone like Thiero an opportunity.

Ayton will play – but less than 20 minutes is a genuine possibility. He’s failed to cover the 17.5 PR in his last two games, and never shown a mental resilience over his career that he’ll respond to the criticism.

Same Game Multi

Ayton Under 17.5 PR / Smart 10+ Points/ Joe 1+ 3PM

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$3.75

Tuesday NBA Multi

Today's NBA Multi

Cavs / Thunder -10.5

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$2.94

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.