Adelaide head to Launceston for one of the toughest road trips in the competition, and the Hawks’ record at their second home remains the strongest betting angle in the game.
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Best Bet
Hawthorn at Launceston is an automatic bet. Eleven straight wins and 13 straight covers at their second home is a record that demands respect regardless of recent form.
The Hawks have been shaky over the last three weeks, drawing with Collingwood, losing to Fremantle in Perth and falling to Melbourne. But the Demons have caught a few teams this year and the Fremantle loss came on the road. Mabior Chol and Connor Nash are handy ins, especially Chol for their forward structure with Gunston missing.
Adelaide regain Riley Thilthorpe and Callum Ah Chee but lose Luke Pedlar and Sam Cumming. Their last three wins came against Port Adelaide, Richmond and North Melbourne, all of which represent a significant step down in class from what awaits them at Launceston.
Back the Hawks to continue their extraordinary record at the venue.
Same Game Multi
Nine of Hawthorn’s last ten games have gone under the total, making this a strong addition to the line.
Adelaide are a good match-up for key defenders and Josh Battle should bring up his fifth straight 20-disposal game.
Inside midfielders also rack up against Hawthorn, so Jordan Dawson should accumulate freely.
Value Bet
Battle has recorded tallies of 24, 22, 24 and 29 in his last four games and Adelaide are a strong match-up for key defenders. At $3.20 this looks a great price for a tall who can go large.
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