The most important ‘Expansion Cup’ yet sees the Suns host the Giants with finals positions on the line.
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The Giants have simply dominated this match-up of the AFL’s youngest teams.
Since 2015, GWS have won 14 of 15 against Gold Coast, covering in 13 of them. The average winning margin has been 48 points.
These sides met earlier this year in Sydney, with the home side winning by seven points and covering the 1.5-point spread.
GWS regained some trust last week with a big win over North following their embarrassing performance against the Dogs a week earlier. As we noted at the time, that match-up has always troubled the orange team.
Otherwise their form has been strong, with seven wins from their last eight and a line cover in each of those victories. That stretch included wins over the Cats, Lions and the resurgent Swans, who they smashed by 44 points.
The Suns have been good too, winning six of their last seven, but their betting record is not as strong, with just four line covers from their last ten.
There is still a big gap between these teams in the turnover battle. The Giants sit fifth for scores from turnover over the last ten weeks at 52.5 points per game, while the Suns are down in 14th at 36.7 points.
With Jack Buckley and potentially Jesse Hogan set to return, back the visitors to remain competitive.
Same Game Multi
Bedford has not been tagging recently but Kingsley may be tempted to put him on Anderson given the Suns’ skipper’s brilliant form.
Toby Greene has had an inconsistent year but he feasts on the Suns. He’s averaging three per game from his last five against them.
Matt Rowell has averaged 31 touches a game over the last five weeks and should pig out again.
Brayden Fiorini has had 20+ in six straight on the wing.
Value Bet
The Suns journeyman has had a good year on the wing, including a goal in three straight games and two last week. There are some monster prices about for another double given how frequently he is hitting the scoreboard recently.
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