AFL Tips – Adelaide v Collingwood – Round 23 2025

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Best Bet

Adelaide -15.5

Line

$1.90

Collingwood have a sensational record at Adelaide Oval, winning ten straight there, but that run looks likely to end on Saturday.

The Crows are the last team the Pies want to face in their current form. Craig McRae’s side have lost four of their last five and, most worryingly, conceded 92 and 110 points in the past two weeks.

Tall forwards have been causing Collingwood serious problems, with Morris (6), Voss (6), Gunston (4), Chol (3) and Meek (3) all hitting the scoreboard in the past month. That is a nightmare scenario against arguably the AFL’s best tall trio in Thilthorpe, Fogarty and Walker.

Elsewhere, the Magpies’ high number of over-30s are really showing their age, and an underdone Nick Daicos is not providing the run and drive they rely on.

A game clear on top of the ladder, Adelaide look every bit a genuine flag contender. They’ve won seven straight, covered in four of their last five, and have covered in five straight against the Pies.

With Collingwood failing to cover in any of their last five, back the home side for a big win.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -15.5, R.Thilthorpe & T.Walker 2+ Goals, B.Keays Anytime Goal

$4.00

Riley Thilthorpe has kicked 2+ in five straight and Taylor Walker has kicked 2+ in six straight.

Ben Keays has kicked a goal in 17 of 18 home games.

Value Bet

R.Thilthorpe

5+ Goals

$9.00

If the Pies again struggle to contain the key forwards, then Riley Thilthorpe is going to feast. The big forward has kicked 5+ in two of his last seven and at least three in four of his last five.

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