
Round 20 kicks off with a clash many forecast as the Grand Final this season but while Penrith will likely be there, Brisbane are at the last chance saloon to breathe life into their hapless title defence.
Best Bet

We have a compelling clash to open Round 20 with Penrith having the opportunity to drive a stake through the heart of Brisbane’s title defence.
Brisbane won’t go lying down though with a host of big names back this week led by halves Adam Reynolds and Ezra Mam and middles Payne Haas and Patrick Carrigan.
That should lead to a bit more resolve in the Broncos defence and with Penrith already holding the best defence in the NRL, a tight, low-scoring affair looks to be on the cards.
The under has hit in the last four while 10 of the last 13 have finished on 40 or fewer points.
The under is 22-11 when Penrith are off a win of 20-plus and 8-3 when they play at night at CommBank.
The under is also 19-13 when Brisbane play interstate and 7-4 when they get more than a converted try.
This game has plenty of indicators suggesting a defensive battle looms.
Same Game Multi

Penrith have dominated Brisbane with 10 wins in the last 12 clashes along with seven straight wins in Sydney.
Casey McLean is an elite prospect with 25 tries in 42 NRL games.
Nathan Cleary has three tries in his last six games and Brisbane have conceded nine tries to halves in their last eight games.
Value Bet

Freddy Lussick can absoutely be the beneficiary of some ordinary Broncos middle defence that has conceded 37% of their tries this year. To put that in context, only the Tigers have conceded more than 29% of their tries through the middle. Lussick loves a dart close to the line and he already has four tries in 13 games this year.
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