
No team has a bigger difference in how they play between day and night than the Melbourne Storm and that makes the Gold Coast Titans a whole heap of value in this one.
Best Bet
Signs of life from Melbourne should not be taken as a return to glory and that suggests that laying 10.5 points is far too big against an improved Titans outfit.
The key to this matchup is the timing. The Storm are a wildly overrated proposition at night. They have covered just five of 19 under lights including one of five at home. The Storm are a poor 10-17 against the spread when favoured by more than eight points at night.
Gold Coast have tended to play Melbourne well with nine covers in the last 13 clashes.
The Titans have also covered five of their last six getting at least eight points.
Melbourne have steadied the ship but this line is far too big in a game the Gold Coast can win.
Same Game Multi
The under has hit in 23 of 34 Titans night games.
Phillip Sami has crossed for seven tries in his last five games.
Jayden Campbell has seven tries this year – and all have come against teams outside the Top 8.
Value Bet
Arama Hau has been a revelation this season. The hard-running backrower has started 13 games this season and has crossed for six tries. Against a Storm left edge that has been a disaster and conceded 43% of tries, Hau is a super bet.
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