
Newcastle have been underrated all season and once again present as outstanding value at home against a Manly side that has collapsed over the backend of 2026.
Best Bet

One suspects that is this was any other team with exactly the same record as the Knights but a different name then they would be favoured by double digits. Newcastle have been disrespected by the market all season and once again look a very good bet laying just 7.5 points against a done and dusted Sea Eagles.
Newcastle have tended to play Manly well, losing just three of the last 10 matches. The Knights have won four of the last five at McDonald Jones.
This is a good spot for the Knights. They are 14-9 ATS at home off a win and 15-9 ATS in home day matches. They are 33-19 ATS when playing a team outside the Top 8.
Manly have failed to cover their last five away from Brookvale while teams off being shutout cover at just 46%.
The Knights are the play.
Same Game Multi

Greg Marzhew cannot stop scoring tries this season with 21 tries in 21 games.
Dominic Young loves playing the Sea Eagles with a remarkable 10 tries in his last six against Manly.
Fletcher Sharpe scored a double the last time he met Manly.
Value Bet

Fletcher Sharpe is an elite tryscorer, a versatile player who can play anywhere in the backline and score in any of them. He has 34 tries in 46 games and has made a habit of scoring more than once in a game with doubles in two of his last three. He has four doubles this year and eight multi-try games during his short career. This is a great value bet.
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