The winless Tennessee Titans cannot be underestimated in this division clash against rivals the Indianapolis Colts.
Best Bet
There is not a lot of joy in steaming into a 0-5 team that can’t throw the ball, is poorly coached and is facing another major rebuild but that is the situation we find ourselves in this week with the numbers dictating the Titans as the best bet of the week.
Teams as bad as the Titans tend to be undervalued in spread betting. Winless teams playing on the road Week 5 and beyond are 62-39 ATS. Winless after scoring six or less Week 6 onwards cover at 64%. Winless teams with a -5 or worst cover differential cover at 57%. Teams off scoring 10 or fewer cover at 66% when a division underdog.
The Colts are in a tough spot here too with home favourites with a point differential of -7 or worse 45-71-3 ATS.
The plus in this one is far too big.
Same Game Multi
Tyjae Spears comes off a nine-catch game and gets a game script to suit his receiving.
Tony Pollard has at least 14 carries in his last four games with a low yardage total of 48 over that run.
Jonathan Taylor has topped 100 yards in his last three against the Titans.
Value Bet
The Colts passing game is certainly more advanced than the Titans and one surprising development over the last few weeks has been the use of Laquon Treadwell in the redzone. Treadwell has seven catches the last two weeks on a team-leading 14 targets. His three redzone targets the last two weeks accounts for 50% of targets to receivers and tight ends. He is huge overs to score.
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12 Oct
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