Unbeaten Minnesota host winless Miami, with Justin Jefferson ruled out for the home side.
Best Bet
Nine and a half is far too many points for a Vikings side that cannot move the ball.
Road teams that have lost three straight and face an opponent with a winning percentage more than .500 better are 61-33 ATS as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. When they are also off three straight ATS losses, as Miami are, that improves to 33-11-2.
Minnesota are 13-25 against the number in their last 38 as home favourites, and Kyler Murray is 6-12 ATS in his last 18 starts as a favourite.
Take the Dolphins and the points.
Same Game Multi
Minnesota are 8-2 to the under in their last ten games.
Jones is averaging 67.7 rushing yards a game and will carry the load with Jefferson out.
Value Bet
Willis has a rushing touchdown this season and has run for 30 or more yards in four of his last five games. Nice odds for a quarterback who likes to run it.
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