The Renegades are in last-chance territory at Marvel Stadium and need a win to keep their finals hopes alive, but they face a tough task against the Scorchers.
Head to Head
The market has a wide gap between these sides, but Marvel Stadium continues to heavily favour the chasing team, which brings the home side firmly into play if they win the bat flip.
The team batting second has won 11 of the last 12 matches at this venue, where dodgy pitches and outfields have made chasing a significant advantage. Being able to assess conditions before batting has proven crucial.
The Renegades have underwhelmed this season, but with genuine power at the top of the order they remain capable of troubling any side if one of their openers gets going. Notably, they’ve won the last three meetings between these teams — no small feat against the consistently strong Scorchers.
Perth sit in the box seat for a home qualifier following Hobart’s shock loss to the Heat, but this won’t be a walkover. Josh Inglis is being rested, while Brendan Doggett returns for the Renegades, adding some extra bite with the ball.
Having the Scorchers priced around $1.50 in a competition where chasing is such a major edge feels excessive pending the bat flip. This is not a market to be rushing into.
Best Bet
One of the few bright spots in a difficult season for the Renegades has been the emergence of Josh Brown as a reliable opener. He’s scored 25+ in five of his last six innings, with his only miss a 22 against the Scorchers. He looks well placed to clear this line again.
Value Bet
Mitch Marsh continues to dominate at this level and has been scoring freely across a range of venues. He’s posted fifties in five of his last eight away matches, including an 88 at Marvel last time out. If the Scorchers bat first and the surface looks reasonable, he’s well worth a look for a ton as well.
Same Game Multi
Scorchers H2H (if chasing) / Marsh & Brown 20+ Runs / Richardson & Zampa 1+ Wickets
