Queensland vs NSW - NRL Tips

The 2026 State of Origin series moves to the MCG this Wednesday, and once again there is plenty of value in Man of the Match betting.

Best Bet

Sam Walker
Man of the Match
Bet Now
$15.00

Sam Walker was absolutely outstanding on debut where he was clearly the best player on the field, trading as low as $1.15 in live betting to win man of the match before NSW snatched victory. A Queensland half has won at least one Man of the Match award in four of the last six series with the inexperienced Tom Dearden winning the award in Game 3 last year. Walker does not have a lot of big-game experience but already has three Anzac Day Man of the Match awards and he does have the narrative with him after having the award taken from him in the opener.


Next Best

James Tedesco
Man of the Match
Bet Now
$6.50

Prolific Man of the Match winner James Tedesco had an up-and-down affair in his return to the Origin arena but did pull off a miraculous catch to win the game for the Blues and looks a super chance of the honours given his history, his workrate and the long history of players not winning the award in back to back games. Tedesco has been named Man of the Match three times – just one off the NSW record of four. The Blues are the favourites and he is clearly the best play for the Blues.


Value Bet

Cameron Munster
Man of the Match
Bet Now
$17.00

Cameron Munster had a very poor start to the season and was one of the primary reasons behind the Storm’s dire start to the year but he has turned it around and given the recent record of spine players he looks a juicy bet at $17. Munster can find his way to the tryline with three Origin tries in his last nine games in Maroon. Munster has won the award three times since 2020 including in Game 2 last season. He played well enough in the opener and happy to stick with him in the second game in his adopted home city.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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