Max Verstappen looks poised to extend his lead in the championship.
After some strong early performances, the Ferrari pit wall has descended into a clown show, culminating in a disastrous strategy in Monaco which almost certainly cost Charles Leclerc a maiden hometown win.
Of even more concern for the Scuderia has been the wayward driving of Sainz coupled with some horrible mechanical failures that have caused two DNFs for Leclerc in his last 3 races.
The upshot of all this is an 80 point drivers championship swing in 5 races with Max Verstappen in the lead and Leclerc tumbling to third.
It gets even worse for Leclerc here as a likely ten place grid penalty for a power unit change means he will be starting from 11th position at best.
Verstappen’s Red Bull is dialled in and he’s driving as well as ever. Maxy should win again and $1.83 is a fair quote.
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The Aussie had a much improved drive in Baku and arguably would’ve finished even higher up the order had he not been held back behind his teammate Lando Norris early in the race due to team orders.
Canada was the stage for his maiden race win back in 2014 and whilst neither he nor his car are on podium pace, look for another strong performance.
Cars to Finish
2014 was a notable race for another reason. A total of 8 cars notched up DNFs. Of these, 6 were due to mechanical failures and the other two caught in an accident with each other.
In the 5 subsequent races at this circuit, there have been a total of 15 retirements, 10 of which have been mechanical. Clearly it has a pattern of being a circuit that is tough on the cars.
We saw a number of engine failures in Baku, and the teams and drivers are out of practice with this circuit having not raced in Canada for 3 years. Expect to see lots of retirements.
If nothing else, this has to be one of the most fun bets you can have in Formula 1. No one wants to see anyone get hurt but there’s nothing wrong with cheering for a bit of carnage!
It may be his home Grand Prix, but Nicholas Latifi has been stinking it up and the added speculation that he’s about to be bounced from his seat for Australian 2021 Formula 2 winner Oscar Piastri won’t help his confidence.