
The world’s best strikers will gather for the World Cup, with names like Mbappe, Messi, Ronaldo, Haaland to name just a few.
When analysing data for this award it’s notable to consider the result is tournament based not averages or per game based. Taking that into consideration, it would be wise to find a scorer who you see going deep into the tournament. Penalties are counted and there is a strong correlation between Golden boot winners and confirmed penalty kick takers.
Golden Boot
Best Bet
Kane will look to lead this hopeful England side deep into the 2026 World Cup. England’s current form in international football is giving the Poms some real hope that this could be their year.
Harry Kane is England’s captain and primary penalty kick taker. He has led ‘The Three Lions’ since 2018 and is England’s top goal scorer with 78. He has kicked 36 goals for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga and an impressive 61 goals in any form across this season.
With England’s soft draw at the group stage, it should give Kane plenty of opportunity to score early and then with a bit of luck we could still see Kane scoring deep into the finals.
Next Best
The Manchester City striker is fast becoming one of the worlds best players, he has scored 27 goals in 35 games in the English Premier League this year. He won his third golden boot in four years in the Premier League and is poised to leap onto the world stage.
The knock on Haaland will be just how far the Norwegians can go. If they can make it as far as the 16 then he is in with a chance but if they fall out before then, it will need to be an impressive group stage to hold on.
Norway is in the tough Group I with 2022 finalist France, as well as Senegal and Iraq. Haaland is in red hot form, scoring 16 goals in 8 World Cup qualifying matches.
Value Bet
Turning 39 years of age during the tournament, has the little master still got enough for the world stage?
He is hard to count out as the main striker of the defending champions. Whether he gets managed through the group stage will be a large factor in deciding Messi’s chances at the Golden Boot.
Now heading into his fifth world cup he has scored 13 goals in total, including 7 in 2022, which was enough for second in golden boot honours behind Mbappe’s 8 goals.
Argentina should be there at the pointy end of the tournament and hopefully it is still led by Messi. They have proven that they can win games without the superstar, so the question remains how much of Messi we see in each game?
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