The Melbourne Cup Carnival concludes at Flemington on Saturday with Champions Day. The track is rated good but rain is forecast.
Best Bet
Too Darn Discreet finished eighth in the Tesio last start but was only beaten 2.5 lengths carrying 60kg. She drops to 56kg here, with Mark Zahra taking over and a tongue tie on for the first time. She loves Flemington and is beautifully in under the set weights and penalties conditions.
Recommended Price: $4.50
Confidence Level: 3.5/5
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Goddess Kay makes her debut after showing plenty of ability in her Flemington jumpouts. The Frankel filly won her latest by a huge margin and looks to have the speed for this short course. Craig Williams takes the ride – a good pointer – from barrier two.
Recommended Price: $4.00
Confidence Level: 3/5
Berkeley Square returned to form with a strong finishing second in the Bendigo Cup, beaten less than a length by So You Are. He drops 2kg from that run and the extra 200m should suit the way he finished off. Any rain about would only aid his cause and the money for So You Are in the Melbourne Cup points to the Bendigo race being a strong rater.
Recommended Price: $7.50
Confidence Level: 3/5
Rey Magnerio produced a terrific finish to win the Century Stakes on Thursday and if he backs up can cause an upset. It’s a huge rise in class, but runners backing up through the carnival have a terrific record. Happy to have a good bet at the $8 for the place and a small spec at 50s for the win.
Recommended Price: $21
Confidence Level: 2.5/5
Light Infantry Man is worth another chance after weakening off a strong tempo in the Cox Plate. His previous second in the Turnbull is a better guide and the dual Australian Cup winner clearly enjoys this course and distance. Mark Zahra takes over from barrier five and Ciaron Maher has done extraordinary things this carnival. Why not again?
Recommended Price: $17
Confidence Level: 3/5
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