There is a big talent discrepancy between these AFC East rivals but the home underdog is the play in this one as Aaron Glenn fights for his job.
Best Bet
There is going to be nothing fun about betting the hapless New York Jets as they play out the string on Aaron Glenn’s tenure. There is no question the Buffalo Bills are a far superior team but this line is just too big.
Underdogs of seven or more are 20-10-3 ATS this season while home underdogs of seven or more are 40-13-1 ATS since 2020.
Teams off a loss of more than one possession against teams not on normal rest cover at 62%.
Teams off a loss of 20 or more cover at 54%.
This is a tough spot for Buffalo too. Teams with Miami on deck are 5-17 against the number while Josh Allen is a poor 4-10-1 ATS on short rest on the road.
They cannot be trusted but numbers dictate the Jets are a bet.
Same Game Multi
James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in seven straight games.
Khalil Shakir has topped 50 yards in four of his last five games.
Garrett Wilson returns from injury – he has at least 57 yards in five of eight games in 2026.
Value Bet
Omari Cooper has been a rare brightspot for the Jets this season and he gets a game script to suit with the Jets projected to be trailing. Cooper pulled in eight catches for 58 yards in the loss to the Chiefs while in Weeks 6 and 7 he topped 100 yards in each. His 23 targets over the last month leads all Jets players.
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