
North Melbourne play a home game away from home at Optus Stadium on Saturday afternoon, looking to bounce back from their humiliating defeat to Fremantle last week.
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Best Bet
No trust in North on the road and West Coast missing key players, so the total is the play.
North games continue to be high scoring with their last seven all going over. Even last week when they scored just 31 points, Fremantle were able to pile on 155. Against bottom-six teams the over is 4-1. North still give up plenty of points, they just tend to score enough to push totals over.
West Coast are only 5-8 over-under this year but one of their big totals came in Round 2 against North at this venue, producing a 205-point game.
With North’s defence in disarray and West Coast confident of pulling off an upset at home, expect goals from both sides.
Same Game Multi
Jake Waterman has kicked three or more goals in four straight games at Optus Stadium. Paul Curtis has kicked two or more goals in five of his six games against West Coast.
Harry Sheezel has had 30 or more disposals in five straight games at Optus Stadium. At 25 this is a very conservative line.
Value Bet
Sheezel has had an inconsistent month but the bad games have come when North have been smashed. When the Roos have been competitive, he has filled up, recording 30 or more in six of his last seven wins including returns of 54 and 39. He had 40 in this exact fixture in Round 2.
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