The two tournament favourites from the men’s and the women’s side hit the court, with Novak Djokovic looking to make a statement against rising star Jannik Sinner. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.
Best Bet
No better initiation on the grass courts for Jannik Sinner than coming up against Novak Djokovic. The Serbian dropped a set as predicted in his fourth round match, but still easily covered the 6.5 game handicap and we could see something similar against the Italian.
Sinner’s only match against Djokovic resulted in a 6-4 6-2 loss last year on the clay, but Djokovic elevates his game to another level on the grass. Over the last 52 weeks the Italian has a 4-7 record against top-10 opposition which includes his fourth-round win over Alcaraz, which doesn’t fill me with confidence that the Italian can cause an upset.
Might be tight early, but once Djokovic finds his groove he’ll finish this off quickly covering the -6.5 game handicap.
Next Best
Brit Cameron Norrie looked really impressive in his fourth-round match with Tommy Paul, and faces 31-year-old David Goffin.
The Belgian is coming off a four and a half hour marathon in his fourth-round match with Frances Tiafoe, which presents some concerns when he now enters the rock solid Norrie who will not give away any free points. Goffin will need to hit the Brit off the court, but will the effects of his fourth-round match be too much?
Norrie is 15-1 this year against opponents ranked outside the top 50, and although Goffin is right on the cusp, I expect the Brit to cover the game handicap in front of his home crowd.
Value Bet
Unsure whether it will work again, but happy to take the risk on the defence of Tatjana Maria against the hard-hitting countrywoman Jule Niemeier.
Maria sliced her way into a Quarter Final relying on Jelena Ostapenko to continue to hit unforced errors with no pace on the ball – it worked, with the Latvian producing 57 unforced errors. Neimeier is also capable of generating her fair share of unforced errors, and likely wouldn’t have faced an ultra-defensive style like Maria’s on the grass previously.
If Niemeier can make more winners than unforced errors it will be enough to get the win, but Maria will not make this easy. Happy to take the value.
Daily H2H Multi
Djokovic / Norrie / Jabeur = $2.01
