Tennis Tips - Wimbledon Day 8 Tips

Alex De Minaur has played well so far this Wimbledon and might have his best opportunity of reaching a Grand Slam Final. How will the Australian fair in the Round of 16?

Best Bet

Taylor Fritz -1.5

Set Handicap

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$1.86

The line and total games is a bit daunting with both players having monstrous serves, but I do expect Taylor Fritz to get this done and should do so in three or four sets.

Fritz beat Bublik in straight sets on the grass in Stuttgart in the lead-up, and has a good recent record against the Kazakh winning four of their last five matches.

The American is producing a huge Wimbledon so far, with the best serve and return percentage in the men’s draw. As for Bublik, against top-10 players over the last 12 months excluding Alcaraz and Sinner, he’s 3-5 with majority of those matches going unders – so don’t expect a long haul if Fritz gets on top.

Next Best

De Minaur vs Cobolli Under 37.5

Total Games

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$1.82

Flavio Cobolli has done well to reach the Round of 16 off the back of making the French Open Final, but he’s limping to this stage of the tournament. The Italian has played some long, grueling matches, and statistically probably should have lost at least two of them – and you can make a case he should have lost all three.

He’ll face Alex De Minaur who has historically played well on grass while owning a winning record against Cobolli.

De Minaur’s last four matches entering as favourite against top-50 opposition at majors have gone under the total games – and even if this gets to four sets, I can see the Italian throwing a set away to conserve energy resulting in another unders.

Value Bet

Keys vs Noskova Over 2.5

Total Sets

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$2.20

Both Noskova and Keys play in their fair share of three-setters, and I expect them to do so in this Round of 16 match.

Over the last 12 months, Keys is 6-9 against top-30 opposition with 73.3% of those matches going overs – ten of those 15 matches going to three sets.

As for Noskova, the Czech’s record on grass against top-30 opposition is strong over the last 12 months at 5-2, with five of those matches going to three sets.

This will be tight – I can see the Czech winning in three, paying $4.50.

Multi

De Minaur (M) / Dimitrov (M) / Fritz (M) / Kostyuk (W) = $3.65

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Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.