Novak Djokovic could face a test no one saw coming when he faces a little known Dutchman in the fourth round. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.
Best Bet
Latvian Jelena Ostapenko entered Wimbledon in red-hot form as a Finalist at Eastbourne, and now faces German Tatjana Maria. Despite being ranked 103 in the world, Maria beat Maria Sakkari in straight sets – but Ostapenko is far better on grass than what Sakkari has been historically, making this a huge challenge for Maria.
Although known for her French Open win, Ostapenko actually plays her best tennis on grass and was a Semi Finalist in 2018. Her third-round match with Begu emphasised how erratic she can be, dropping the first set and still covering the -5.5 game handicap – she’s more than capable of completely wiping Maria off the court in straight sets covering the -4.5 game handicap.
Next Best
I’ve been extremely hesitant of Carlos Alcaraz on the grass courts, but off the back of his performance against Oscar Otte where he only dropped six games against an opponent who thrives on the grass, it appears he’s adjusted very quickly.
He faces another young gun in Jannik Sinner, who also has played very little tennis on grass courts, who accounted for John Isner – and although that sounds impressive, the American is now 37 and very one dimensional. The Alcaraz win over Otte was the better of the two, and the Spaniard’s power should be too much for the Italian.
Both players enter the fourth round in outstanding form – Marie Bouzkova is 25-9 for the year and on the verge of breaking out, while Caroline Garcia is experiencing a bit of a renaissance winning in Bad Homburg prior to claiming two seeds this Wimbledon.
Garcia has played plenty of long matches in this lead-up which suggests we could have another one against the Czech. Of the Frenchwoman’s last 12 matches on grass, 9 have gone over the 21.5 total games including two this Wimbledon. Bouzkova isn’t too far off either with six of her last nine matches going over 21.5 games. Expect this to go the distance.
Value Bet
There could be an element of unknown here for Novak Djokovic when he faces mystery man Tim Van Rijthoven.
The Dutchman is 8-0 on grass this year off the back of winning Hertogenbosch despite being ranked outside the top 200 at the time. His scalps include Taylor Fritz, Felix Auger Aliassime, Daniil Medvedev, Reilly Opelka and Nikoloz Basilashvili who all feature in the top 30 – it’s a fair resume!
Don’t be surprised Van Rijthoven takes Djokovic by surprise early in the match and takes a set, but the Serbian will make in-match adjustments and get the win in four sets.
Daily H2H Multi
Alcaraz / Norrie / Djokovic / Ostapenko / Jabeur = $3.08
