Tennis Tips – Wimbledon Day 6 Tips

Rafael Nadal - Expert Tennis Tips

After dismantling Denis Shapovalov in the second-round, a young American should cruise through to the fourth-round where he’ll potentially face Nick Kyrgios. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.

Best Bet

Brandon Nakashima -6.5
Line - Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Elahi Galan

It’s a big line for young American Brandon Nakashima, but off the back of his victory with Denis Shapovalov he shouldn’t have any troubles against Daniel Elahi Galan.

The Colombian made the third-round due to Roberto Bautista Agut withdrawing from their second-round match with coronavirus, and his first-round victory was because Dominik Koepfer was playing in his second match since March.

With Nakashima’s record this grass season now 9-3, he’ll have no problems winning this in straight sets covering the game handicap.

Next Best

Botic Van De Zandschulp -4.5
Line - Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Richard Gasquet

Thought Emil Ruusuvuori might trouble the Dutchman in the second-round off the back of the Fin beating Botic Van De Zandschulp in Hertogenbosch, but it was a clinical performance after the first set.

The big serve, powerful ground strokes and flat ball striking of Van De Zandschulp makes him a genuine wildcard this tournament, and assuming both him and Rafael Nadal go through to the fourth round, it will certainly be a must-watch encounter.

The Dutchman however needs to get past Richard Gasquet first. The Frenchman has done well to get to this point, but you have to wonder how the 36-year-old is holding up off the back of four and five setters. Gasquet has done his best work on clay this year where the ball holds up, and the power of the Dutchman should be too much here.

Katie Boulter -3.5
Line - Katie Boulter vs Harmony Tan

Great performance by Brit Katie Boulter with her second-round win over Karolina Pliskova – the second time she’s beaten the Czech in a fortnight. Boulter missed the clay court season with a foot injury, but it has resulted in an extended grass court season off a 3-month layoff, with her grass record 9-3 and her 2022 record an impressive 20-8.

She faces Frenchwoman Harmony Tan who upset Serena Williams in the first-round – likely the reason why the odds are closer than they should be. It was a gutsy win from Tan, but Serena was severely underdone, while her second-round win was against Sara Sorribes Tormo who is better suited to clay. With the crowd behind her, expect Boulter to advance to the fourth-round, covering the -3.5 game handicap.

Value Bet

Paula Badosa / Over 21.5 Games
Double Market - Petra Kvitova vs Paula Badosa

The value for Paula Badosa here is too good to ignore. Well aware Petra Kvitova is a two-time champion at Wimbledon, but reality is her record at The Championships since 2015 is just 9-6 – when you break that down, against top 50 opposition at Wimbledon since 2015 she’s just 1-4.

Kvitova has advanced to the third-round just twice in her last six Wimbledons, and her form against top-10 opposition since 2019 has been underwhelming to say the least at 5-15, winning just one of her last nine matches against top 10 opponents.

Grass is definitely not Badosa’s preferred surface, but she hasn’t had any trouble in her two opening rounds dropping just eight games. With Kvitova needing three sets in her first-round match, to go with the way she finished her second-round match with Ana Bogdan, there’s enough warning signs there and as a result I’ll be in the Badosa camp.

Daily H2H Multi

Van De Zandschulp / Boulter / Rybakina / Brooksby / Nadal = $4.53

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Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.