Some cracking matches on Day 2 of The Championships, including our take on the highly-touted first-round match between Felix Auger-Aliassime v Maxime Cressy. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.
Best Bet
Australian Alja Tomljanovic, last year’s quarter finalist, will relish the grass surface when she comes up against Jil Teichmann. Tomljanovic’s lead-up form has been reasonable with a 3-2 record across Nottingham and Eastbourne, and it’s certainly better than her opponent who is much better on clay.
The Swiss is seeded 18 at Wimbledon off the back of a highly impressive clay court season where she went 11-4, but she’s never performed on grass – she’s 0-2 in the lead-up, and is 1-6 across her career. Tomljanovic should cover the 3 game line.
Next Best
Don’t mind the future of Lorenzo Musetti but mainly on the red dirt – on grass he’s yet to record a victory in his professional career, in fact he’s yet to win a set.
American Taylor Fritz who is our $91 shot to reach the Wimbledon Final is Musetti’s first-round opponent, entering Wimbledon off the back of a tournament win at Eastbourne with wins against the likes of Cressy and De Minaur who prefer to play on the grass courts.
The Italian is prone to throw the odd set away, so if Fritz can claim a set 6-1 or 6-2 it will set him up to cover the line comfortably.
The Frenchwoman is at her 16th Wimbledon, and has been strong on the grass courts dating back to 2019 with an 11-8 record. Cornet had a good lead-up at Bad Homburg with a win over 2021 Wimbledon Semi Finalist Angelique Kerber, and enters the first-round with a perfect career record over her opponent.
Yulia Puntintseva is ranked just four spots above Cornet at 33 in the world, but Cornet has a 3-0 record against the Kazakh across their career. With Puntinseva’s 12-19 career record on grass, the Frenchwoman should be too good.
Italian Camila Giorgi has a sneaky good record on grass over the last two years which has seen her move back into the top 30 for the first time since February 2019. Giorgi went 7-3 last year, and backed it up this year in the lead-up with a 6-3 record including a win over Garbine Muguruza on the way to a Semi Final appearance at Eastbourne.
The Italian faces the 92nd ranked Magdalena Frech in the first-round, who has a 16-18 record this year including 2-3 on grass. With a 1-12 record against top 30 opposition (her only win against Kvitova in April who retired hurt), I can’t see her troubling Giorgi with the Italian covering the 4.5 game handicap.
The Jenson Brooksby form simply does not stack up, and I couldn’t possibly take him at the minus handicap when he faces veteran Mikael Kukushkin.
The American has won just 3 of his last 11 matches which is contradictory to his ranking of 34 in the world, going 1-3 on grass in the lead-up. Kukushkin was a Quarter Finalist at Nottingham and worked his way through qualifying, so he has grass court form under his belt. Expect the Kazakh to challenge Brooksby in this with the match potentially going the distance.
Value Bet
Probably the match of the opening round, with the big serving, serve-volley game of Maxime Cressy against one of the Wimbledon favourites in Felix Auger Aliassime. Expect both Cressy and FAA to win at least a set in this, and we should expect bulk tie-breakers.
FAA is 4-2 on the grass in the lead-up, and from his 14 sets played eight of them have gone to 7. As for Cressy who was a Finalist at Eastbourne, seven of his last nine sets have gone to 7. The difference between the two – FAA is ranked third on the ATP tour for tie-break win percentage over the last 52 weeks at 70.8%, while Cressy is ranked 66th winning just 42.4%. Expect an FAA win with plenty of games.
Daily H2H Multi
Tomljanovic / Giorgi / Evans / Fritz / Draper / Van de Zandschulp = $4.31
