Can American Taylor Fritz cause a huge upset and take out Rafael Nadal? The American is yet to drop a set yet this tournament, and has the game to trouble the Spaniard. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.
Best Bet
We said this would be the match up in our Wimbledon Preview and it has come to fruition – American Taylor Fritz will face Rafael Nadal in the Quarter Final, and despite Fritz being under the radar he’s playing outstanding tennis.
The American enters this winning his last eight matches on grass with his win in Eastbourne, and is yet to drop a set so far. With a 28-10 record so far in 2022 (23-7 away from clay), he’s a genuine threat to spoil Rafael Nadal’s run.
Fritz beat Nadal 6-3 7-5 in the Final of Indian Wells in March, one of three players to beat Nadal this year, and the grass surface will only enhance his offensive game. Take the game handicap and the $3.10 for the win.
Next Best
Simply clinical from Simona Halep – not just against Paula Badosa in the Round of 16, but all tournament. The Romanian is yet to drop a set at Wimbledon, dropping just 22 games so far – 5.5 per match.
She faces another ball striker in Amanda Anisimova, with the two meeting just a fortnight ago in the Quarter Final at Bad Homburg – the Romanian winning 6-2 6-1 in less than an hour. Halep has won her last two against Anisimova in similar fashion – their 2020 clash at Roland Garros was a 6-0 6-1 win in similar time, with the Halep serve simply dominant on both occasions.
Halep’s ability to mix defence with attack will be too much for the American, winning in straight sets and easily covering the -3.5 game handicap.
Value Bet
Elena Rybakina has been very good at Wimbledon despite a rocky lead-in, yet to drop a set on the way to the Quarter Finals where she’ll face Australian Ajla Tomljanovic.
The two met last year on clay where Rybakina was way too good for the Australian winning 6-4 6-0, but this will be much closer. Despite the straight set wins for the Kazakh, the average total games across the tournament has been 23.5 with six of her eight sets going to 7.
Across players in the top 50 over the last 52 weeks, Rybakina is ranked third for service points won at 62.8%, while 42nd in returning points won – emphasising why a lot of the Kazakh’s sets are going to 7, especially on the grass. Even if Rybakina wins in straight sets, which I think is highly likely, expect the total games to go over 21.5.
Daily H2H Multi
Kyrgios / Rybakina / Halep = $2.60
