Ben Shelton faces an injured Jannik Sinner in the Quarter Final with the Italian bailed out by the Dimitrov retirement last match – can the American cause an upset?
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Best Bet
A dominant Round of 16 performance by Andreeva – one I certainly didn’t see coming.
Across this Wimbledon, the Russian has the second-best service and return point percentage of all remaining players at 117.1% – in comparison, Sabalenka is at 108.7%, and Andreeva’s Quarter Final opponent Belinda Bencic is the lowest with 107.6%.
Yet to drop a set, I can see Andreeva producing another straight sets win in this against the Swiss and covering this line.
Next Best
Was back to her best in her fourth-round win over Clara Tauson and now faces Liudmila Samsonova.
The pair have met on four occasions across their career with the Pole leading 4-0, and it’s been dominant by Swiatek.
Their first meeting on clay in 2022 was close, but since the beginning of 2023 they’ve played three times on hard court – Swiatek has won all three in straight sets, and dropped a combined total of 10 games across six sets. This should be closer, but based on history Swiatek should still cover this handicap.
Value Bet
How tentative do we see Jannik Sinner (if we see him at all) in this Quarter Final against Ben Shelton?
Nursing an elbow injury from the opening game of his match against Dimitrov, it might take a bit of time for Sinner to find his rhythm against the American.
No doubt Ben Shelton knows the assignment – attack Sinner at all costs early, wear him down and make this a genuine fight. Unsure whether he can sustain it, but expect an early onslaught with the American winning the first.
Multi
Djokovic (M) / Sinner (M) / Swiatek (W) / Andreeva (W) = $2.71
