Carlos Alcaraz is looking for his third straight Wimbledon title, but will his arch rival Jannik Sinner get in the way claiming his first grass court major?
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Champion
I would have had both Sinner and Alcaraz at the same price, but think the Spaniard has moved into favouritism off the back of a friendlier draw.
That being said, Sinner’s draw isn’t overly difficult until the Semi Final where he’ll likely face Djokovic or Draper.
The Italian really should have beaten Alcaraz in the French Open Final on his least preferred surface – and although Alcaraz has won the last two Wimbledon crowns, I think Sinner has built nicely over the last 18 months for a serious crack at the title.
Runner Up
Quite simply too short, and potentially the price he’ll be if he reaches the Final. Understand what he’s done previously, but it’s never easy backing up the French Open championship to Wimbledon.
Blessed with a friendly draw despite some potential obstacles with Auger Aliassime and Lehecka in his quarter – two opponents that have previously troubled him, and then having to face one of Zverev, Medvedev or the in-form Fritz in the Semi Final.
Wouldn’t surprise to see him in the Final, but not a price I’d touch.
Semi Finalists
Now this is a price I’d be happy to take. Djokovic’s record at Wimbledon is incredible – he’s either won or made the Final since 2018.
Made the Semi Finals of both the Australian Open and French Open so form isn’t an issue, and I just wouldn’t be surprised to see the Serbian turn back the clock a bit and record his 25th major.
Draw is easy until the Quarter Finals where he’ll likely face Jack Draper, and then Sinner in the Semi Final, but the $7.50 provides great value here.
The third quarter is certainly the most open of the four this Wimbledon, and although Daniil Medvedev hasn’t been in great form in 2025, he has played well here across his career.
Reached the Semi Final last year while beating Sinner along the way, backing up his Semi Final run from 2023 – Alcaraz stopping his run on both occasions.
With Zverev struggling at Wimbledon across his career and Fritz given an extremely tough draw, we could see the Russian rekindle some form.
Roughies
Featuring in the same section of the draw as Holger Rune gives Lehecka a huge opportunity.
Played well at Queen’s reaching the Final and taking a set off Alcaraz, and although he’s in the Spaniard’s quarter he has played well against him historically.
Made the Round of 16 in 2023 – think he’s a better player now.
Has had the best grass court lead-up out of everyone winning both Stuttgart and Eastbourne.
Unfortunately for Fritz, he’s got a nightmare draw facing Mpetschi-Perricard in the opening round, Diallo in the second who enters in red hot form winning Hertogenbosch, then Davidovich Fokina and Medvedev – and that’s just the first week.
Without the nightmare draw, he would have been my pick of this quarter based on the form line and the fact he’s a two-time Quarter Finalist at Wimbledon.
