Tennis Tips – Australian Open Day 6 Tips

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Top-Rated Bookie!Go To Site

Best Bet

Tommy Paul -3.5

Game Handicap

$1.80

After an extended break at the end of last year, Tommy Paul appears to be back to his best to start 2026.

The American faces Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina – an opponent he’s had absolutely no trouble with over his career with a 4-0 career record over the Spaniard.

The pair met at last year’s Australian Open – the result, 6-1 6-1 6-1. From the four wins Paul has recorded against ADF, Paul has covered the game handicap of -3.5 on all four occasions, even when it went to five sets at the 2023 Australian Open – he should do so again.

Next Best

Aryna Sabalenka -6.5

Game Handicap

$1.88

Been dominant so far and I expect the dominance of Aryna Sabalenka to continue.

She faces Anastasia Potapova – a player who has floated around the top 50 for a while, but never really done much damage. Since the start of last year, the Russian is 1-11 against top 10 opposition and from those 11 losses she covered the +6.5 game handicap on two occasions.

Sabalenka has played Potapova twice, dropping just seven games across four sets, covering the -6.5 on both occasions.

Tien vs Borges Over 37.5

Total Games

$1.91

Learner Tien has played reasonably well so far this Australian Open – Giron was a tough opening round test which went five, while he’ll be disappointed to drop a set against Shevchenko.

Borges won’t be an easy matchup for the American. The Portuguese has potentially been flattered by the results so far – Auger-Aliassime was unwell in the opening round with the Canadian retiring, while he needed four sets to get past Jordan Thompson who missed a chunk of tennis the back-end of last year.

This definitely won’t be a straight sets encounter – Borges is too solid, while Tien is only 20 years of age and still has these mid-match lapses. The American beat Borges in Paris last year 6-2 7-6 – think we’ll see the American winning in at least four sets, with a tie-breaker thrown in.

Value Bet

Andrey Rublev Wins / Over 3.5 Sets

Match / Total Sets Double

$2.70

Francisco Cerundolo’s record against Rublev is the main reason why he’s so short in the market, leading the Russian 3-1 across their career, but I think we see a response from Rublev.

Three of the four matches were on clay – and although Cerundolo did win their only hard court meeting at the Paris Masters in 2024, it was during a tough stretch for the Russian.

Cerundolo’s form has now been questionable over the last six months especially on hard court – from his last 10 hard court matches against top-50 opposition, Cerundolo is just 2-8.

No way Rublev wins this in straight sets – but I think he gets it done in four.

Multi

Rublev (M) / Paul (M) / Tien (M) / Zverev (M) / Medvedev (M) / Andreeva (W) = $6.27